Saturday, June 28, 2014



TOPIC 1: ANALYSIS OF THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY

AAP - THE ROAD AHEAD

DEAR FRIENDS,
I am placing the first topic for your comments and suggestions.
There are 5 more Topics which will help us form the AAP strategy forward.
Please share your views and comments on today's TOPIC 1.. Based on your suggestions, we shall discuss the next topic.
TOPIC 2:  WHAT ACTUALLY LED TO BJP-MODI VICTORY

TO-DAY'S TOPIC
TOPIC 1:  ANALYSIS OF THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY
1. Today the media is projecting that the whole country has become coloured by Saffron and Modi has been accepted by EVERYONE as a messiah having a magic wand which will make everyone happier and prosperous.
Is this the truth?
BJP (with NDA allies) may have got over 60 % seats in the parliament, but they got less than 40 % votes polled. What about the people who did not vote and over 1.5 % those who voted NOTA.
The real truth is only a maximum of 25 % of the Indians have shown that they would PREFER MODI.
What about 75 % who have not voted for Modi or have not shown their preference, as they did not vote?
So the BIG NEWS that WHOLE INDIA has become MODIFIED is FALSE.
2. MODI WAVE & GUJARAT MODEL: This is another media created PHENOMENON. Let us analyse its veracity. In three states, W Bengal, Orissa and Tamil Nadu, there are no signs of any Modi sweep. Here the logic of anti-incumbency also does not hold. Also, excepting for minor reports of violence and booth capturing, there were free and fair polling in these three states. If Modi alone stands for development, should we say that people in these three states do not want development? If we say that voters vote differently for state and centre elections then also we cannot answer why these voters did not vote for Modi for the parliamentary elections. Why these voters rejected the Gujarat Development model of Modi?
So the BIG NEWS that WHOLE INDIA has accepted and voted for the MODI development model is FALSE.

3. NINE MONTHS AGO: BJP had internal tussles as to whom to choose as PM candidate. There were many contenders. If in less than 9 months, Modi has created this TSUNAMI in the whole of India, as projected by media, why in his own state for 12 years he could not get over 60 % vote share in three successive elections?
Why in Delhi state elections, just 7 months ago, BJP did not get a simple majority? Did people not know of the Gujarat model at that time? Possibly BJP itself did not believe in the Gujarat model’s truth, otherwise it would have used it.

4. Modi and BJP have fought elections in the last 10 years, so why was the Gujarat development model not sold to people in the last two parliamentary elections? Did BJP not know that they had developed Gujarat because of MODI’s policies?

5. The huge voter turnout in this election is beyond the wildest expectation of any political party. Has this large voter polling increase been created because of the Modi model and his charisma? Then how do you justify the high voter turnout in those three states in which Modi could not create the Modi effect?

6. Why in these elections the well-known caste and religion based politics completely failed and the parties, like SP and Congress, which had always heavily depended on such politics were routed? Can it be truly said that people suddenly realized that Modi and BJP are above caste and religion based politics?

7. WHY THIS HUGE CHANGE: For getting the correct answers to the above questions, we have to understand what happened on the Indian political scene nine months ago, that has changed the thinking of the Indian voter. What has created a huge hunger and positive expectations in the voters for a clean and non-divisive government? What has made them hope that a good government can bring them justice and peace with progress?

8. THE VOTER’S MOOD: What created the huge voter hunger and expectations which has led to the results of to-day?


Sincerest Regards,
Pravin Gupta

AAP - THE ROAD AHEAD

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